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I think it 's fairly obvious that growth will slow being there are less people moving from basic...


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I think it's fairly obvious that growth will slow being there are less people moving from basic/feature phones to smartphones. 

 

IMO manufacturers still make too many phones too quickly.  It's difficult to create excitement or introduce hardware enhancements when your next device is out 9-12 months later.

 

How do you all feel about it?

http://www.forbes.com/sites/roberthof/2013/07/07/has-the-smartphone-boom-peaked-ominous-signs-pile-up/

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I think the real impediment to progress on either the smartphone hardware or software front is Internet access. It has to be fast, easily available, and pretty much unlimited to support future advances. After all, if electricity had been capped to just enough to run a fridge and a few lamps, there's a multitude of useful appliances that never would have been invented.

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Phone manufacturers have always pushed out new hardware every year at one time Sony Ericsson operated on a 9 month schedule, the difference today is that we are being pushed by marketing to chase the "next big thing". The other major point is that smartphone sales have slumped in the US but the next billion people who will purchase a smartphone will not speak English as their first language and it will be the first computer for many of them.

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The smartphone industry is unique in that buying a new one every 2 years is build into the system. artificially creating demand.

 

No one is going to call you up and say "your laptop is now 18 months old. sign up for a new contract today and we'll send you one of these brand new products for only $200"

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